Recent polls suggest that Biden is ahead in Nevada, though some show narrower margins than others. But the state has a strong independent streak and is notoriously difficult to poll. The hospitality industry, including the gambling-resort hub of Las Vegas, has a significant slice of night and shift workers and a highly transient population moving in, out and around the state.
Those same factors can make door-knocking particularly important for reaching and registering voters.
Since the spring, Republicans have consistently added more voters to their rolls than Democrats each month, narrowing their voter registration deficit in September to 5 percentage points — 1 point narrower than in 2016.
Biden’s campaign has maintained that it can effectively organize digitally, but earlier this month it resumed door-to-door canvassing. The former vice president and his running mate, California Sen. Kamala Harris, made their own visits to Las Vegas this month.
Rory McShane, a Nevada-based Republican political strategist, said the state has a strong populist presence and Republicans may benefit from voters who may be frustrated with Sisolak’s virus-related restrictions and a hobbled state unemployment system that still has tens of thousands of residents who’ve been waiting for assistance since spring.
Democrats aren’t buying that theory. They say the Trump administration’s handling of the pandemic, the economic fallout and the president’s disregard of his own government’s health and safety guidelines will all hurt him.
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